Macquarie Etf Trust Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 31.07
| PWER Etf | 29.64 0.33 1.13% |
Macquarie |
Macquarie ETF Target Price Odds to finish over 31.07
The tendency of Macquarie Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 31.07 or more in 90 days |
| 29.64 | 90 days | 31.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Macquarie ETF to move over 31.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Macquarie ETF Trust probability density function shows the probability of Macquarie Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Macquarie ETF Trust price to stay between its current price of 29.64 and 31.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.07 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Macquarie ETF has a beta of 0.69 indicating as returns on the market go up, Macquarie ETF average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Macquarie ETF Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Macquarie ETF Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Macquarie ETF Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Macquarie ETF
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Macquarie ETF Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Macquarie ETF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Macquarie ETF Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Macquarie ETF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Macquarie ETF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Macquarie ETF Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Macquarie ETF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Macquarie ETF Technical Analysis
Macquarie ETF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Macquarie Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Macquarie ETF Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Macquarie Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Macquarie ETF Predictive Forecast Models
Macquarie ETF's time-series forecasting models is one of many Macquarie ETF's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Macquarie ETF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Macquarie ETF in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Macquarie ETF's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Macquarie ETF options trading.
Check out Macquarie ETF Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Macquarie ETF Correlation, Macquarie ETF Hype Analysis, Macquarie ETF Volatility, Macquarie ETF History as well as Macquarie ETF Performance. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
The market value of Macquarie ETF Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Macquarie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Macquarie ETF's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Macquarie ETF's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Macquarie ETF's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Macquarie ETF's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Macquarie ETF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Macquarie ETF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Macquarie ETF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.