Power Financial Corp Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 15.42

PWF-PQ Preferred Stock  CAD 16.64  0.04  0.24%   
Power Financial's future price is the expected price of Power Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Power Financial Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Power Financial Backtesting, Power Financial Valuation, Power Financial Correlation, Power Financial Hype Analysis, Power Financial Volatility, Power Financial History as well as Power Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Power Financial's target price for which you would like Power Financial odds to be computed.

Power Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 15.42

The tendency of Power Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 15.42  or more in 90 days
 16.64 90 days 15.42 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Power Financial to drop to C$ 15.42  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Power Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Power Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Power Financial Corp price to stay between C$ 15.42  and its current price of C$16.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Power Financial Corp has a beta of -0.16 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Power Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Power Financial Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Power Financial Corp has an alpha of 0.1219, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Power Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Power Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Power Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.5316.6817.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6613.8118.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.6916.8417.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.7716.3016.83
Details

Power Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Power Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Power Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Power Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Power Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio 0

Power Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Power Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Power Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Power Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid1.1 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate1.64

Power Financial Technical Analysis

Power Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Power Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Power Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Power Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Power Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Power Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Power Financial's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Power Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Power Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Power Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Power Financial options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Power Preferred Stock

Power Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Power Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Power with respect to the benefits of owning Power Financial security.