Philex Mining (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.11
| PX Stock | 2.78 0.01 0.36% |
Philex |
Philex Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 3.11
The tendency of Philex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 3.11 after 90 days |
| 2.78 | 90 days | 3.11 | about 68.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Philex Mining to stay under 3.11 after 90 days from now is about 68.13 (This Philex Mining Corp probability density function shows the probability of Philex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Philex Mining Corp price to stay between its current price of 2.78 and 3.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Philex Mining Corp has a beta of -0.14 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Philex Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Philex Mining Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Philex Mining Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Philex Mining Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Philex Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Philex Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Philex Mining Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Philex Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Philex Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Philex Mining Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Philex Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Philex Mining Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Philex Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Philex Mining Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Philex Mining Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Philex Mining Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Philex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Philex Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Philex Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.1 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 392.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
Philex Mining Technical Analysis
Philex Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Philex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Philex Mining Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Philex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Philex Mining Predictive Forecast Models
Philex Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Philex Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Philex Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Philex Mining Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Philex Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Philex Mining Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Philex Mining Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Other Information on Investing in Philex Stock
Philex Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Philex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Philex with respect to the benefits of owning Philex Mining security.