POLARX (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.003

PX0 Stock  EUR 0.0005  0.0005  50.00%   
POLARX's future price is the expected price of POLARX instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of POLARX LTD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out POLARX Backtesting, POLARX Valuation, POLARX Correlation, POLARX Hype Analysis, POLARX Volatility, POLARX History as well as POLARX Performance.
  
Please specify POLARX's target price for which you would like POLARX odds to be computed.

POLARX Target Price Odds to finish over 0.003

The tendency of POLARX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 0  or more in 90 days
 0.0005 90 days 0 
roughly 2.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of POLARX to move over € 0  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.89 (This POLARX LTD probability density function shows the probability of POLARX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of POLARX LTD price to stay between its current price of € 0.0005  and € 0  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon POLARX LTD has a beta of -0.32 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding POLARX are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, POLARX LTD is likely to outperform the market. Additionally POLARX LTD has an alpha of 0.3042, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   POLARX Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for POLARX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as POLARX LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000622.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000522.05
Details

POLARX Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. POLARX is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the POLARX's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold POLARX LTD, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of POLARX within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.0005
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

POLARX Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of POLARX for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for POLARX LTD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POLARX LTD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
POLARX LTD has high historical volatility and very poor performance
POLARX LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
POLARX LTD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 4. Net Loss for the year was (1.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
POLARX LTD has accumulated about 3.49 M in cash with (1.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

POLARX Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of POLARX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential POLARX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. POLARX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float788.4 M

POLARX Technical Analysis

POLARX's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. POLARX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of POLARX LTD. In general, you should focus on analyzing POLARX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

POLARX Predictive Forecast Models

POLARX's time-series forecasting models is one of many POLARX's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary POLARX's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about POLARX LTD

Checking the ongoing alerts about POLARX for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for POLARX LTD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
POLARX LTD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
POLARX LTD has high historical volatility and very poor performance
POLARX LTD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
POLARX LTD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 4. Net Loss for the year was (1.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
POLARX LTD has accumulated about 3.49 M in cash with (1.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in POLARX Stock

POLARX financial ratios help investors to determine whether POLARX Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in POLARX with respect to the benefits of owning POLARX security.