Qulitas Controladora (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 131.5
| Q Stock | MXN 147.40 2.12 1.46% |
Qulitas |
Qulitas Controladora Target Price Odds to finish below 131.5
The tendency of Qulitas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 131.50 or more in 90 days |
| 147.40 | 90 days | 131.50 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qulitas Controladora to drop to 131.50 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Qulitas Controladora SAB probability density function shows the probability of Qulitas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qulitas Controladora SAB price to stay between 131.50 and its current price of 147.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.4 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Qulitas Controladora has a beta of 0.15 indicating as returns on the market go up, Qulitas Controladora average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Qulitas Controladora SAB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Qulitas Controladora SAB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Qulitas Controladora Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Qulitas Controladora
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qulitas Controladora SAB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Qulitas Controladora Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qulitas Controladora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qulitas Controladora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qulitas Controladora SAB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qulitas Controladora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Qulitas Controladora Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qulitas Controladora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qulitas Controladora SAB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Qulitas Controladora generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Qulitas Controladora Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qulitas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qulitas Controladora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qulitas Controladora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 397.3 M |
Qulitas Controladora Technical Analysis
Qulitas Controladora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qulitas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qulitas Controladora SAB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qulitas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qulitas Controladora Predictive Forecast Models
Qulitas Controladora's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qulitas Controladora's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qulitas Controladora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qulitas Controladora SAB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qulitas Controladora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qulitas Controladora SAB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Qulitas Controladora generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Qulitas Stock Analysis
When running Qulitas Controladora's price analysis, check to measure Qulitas Controladora's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qulitas Controladora is operating at the current time. Most of Qulitas Controladora's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qulitas Controladora's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qulitas Controladora's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qulitas Controladora to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.