Cref Money Market Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 29.72

QCMMIX Fund  USD 29.72  0.01  0.03%   
Cref Money's future price is the expected price of Cref Money instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cref Money Market performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cref Money Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Cref Money Correlation, Cref Money Hype Analysis, Cref Money Volatility, Cref Money History as well as Cref Money Performance.
  
Please specify Cref Money's target price for which you would like Cref Money odds to be computed.

Cref Money Target Price Odds to finish below 29.72

The tendency of Cref Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 29.72 90 days 29.72 
over 95.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cref Money to move below current price in 90 days from now is over 95.79 (This Cref Money Market probability density function shows the probability of Cref Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cref Money Market has a beta of -0.0021 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Cref Money are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Cref Money Market is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Cref Money Market has an alpha of 0.0093, implying that it can generate a 0.009253 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cref Money Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cref Money

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cref Money Market. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.7029.7229.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.6629.6832.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.7129.7329.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.6629.6929.73
Details

Cref Money Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cref Money is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cref Money's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cref Money Market, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cref Money within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0021
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -6.27

Cref Money Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cref Money for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cref Money Market can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cref is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days

Cref Money Technical Analysis

Cref Money's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cref Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cref Money Market. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cref Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cref Money Predictive Forecast Models

Cref Money's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cref Money's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cref Money's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cref Money Market

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cref Money for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cref Money Market help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cref is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Cref Fund

Cref Money financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cref Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cref with respect to the benefits of owning Cref Money security.
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