Questerre Energy (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.18

QEC Stock  NOK 2.05  0.14  7.33%   
Questerre Energy's future price is the expected price of Questerre Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Questerre Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Questerre Energy Backtesting, Questerre Energy Valuation, Questerre Energy Correlation, Questerre Energy Hype Analysis, Questerre Energy Volatility, Questerre Energy History as well as Questerre Energy Performance.
  
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Questerre Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 2.18

The tendency of Questerre Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  2.18  after 90 days
 2.05 90 days 2.18 
about 70.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Questerre Energy to stay under  2.18  after 90 days from now is about 70.93 (This Questerre Energy probability density function shows the probability of Questerre Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Questerre Energy price to stay between its current price of  2.05  and  2.18  at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Questerre Energy has a beta of 0.75 indicating as returns on the market go up, Questerre Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Questerre Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Questerre Energy has an alpha of 0.111, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Questerre Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Questerre Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Questerre Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.916.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.725.95
Details

Questerre Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Questerre Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Questerre Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Questerre Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Questerre Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Questerre Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Questerre Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Questerre Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Questerre Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Questerre Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Questerre Energy has accumulated 155 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Questerre Energy has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Questerre Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Questerre Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Questerre Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Questerre to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Questerre Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 30.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.75 M.

Questerre Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Questerre Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Questerre Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Questerre Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.5 M

Questerre Energy Technical Analysis

Questerre Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Questerre Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Questerre Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Questerre Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Questerre Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Questerre Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Questerre Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Questerre Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Questerre Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Questerre Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Questerre Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Questerre Energy had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Questerre Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Questerre Energy has accumulated 155 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 8.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Questerre Energy has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Questerre Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Questerre Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Questerre Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Questerre to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Questerre Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 30.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.75 M.

Other Information on Investing in Questerre Stock

Questerre Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Questerre Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Questerre with respect to the benefits of owning Questerre Energy security.