Quantgate Systems Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0129

QGSI Stock  USD 0.02  0  10.00%   
Quantgate Systems' future price is the expected price of Quantgate Systems instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Quantgate Systems performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Quantgate Systems Backtesting, Quantgate Systems Valuation, Quantgate Systems Correlation, Quantgate Systems Hype Analysis, Quantgate Systems Volatility, Quantgate Systems History as well as Quantgate Systems Performance.
  
Please specify Quantgate Systems' target price for which you would like Quantgate Systems odds to be computed.

Quantgate Systems Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0129

The tendency of Quantgate OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.01 
about 72.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quantgate Systems to drop to $ 0.01  or more in 90 days from now is about 72.54 (This Quantgate Systems probability density function shows the probability of Quantgate OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quantgate Systems price to stay between $ 0.01  and its current price of $0.0198 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.58 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Quantgate Systems has a beta of -1.39 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Quantgate Systems are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Quantgate Systems is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Quantgate Systems has an alpha of 3.3318, implying that it can generate a 3.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Quantgate Systems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Quantgate Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quantgate Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Quantgate Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0221.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0121.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.0221.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.02
Details

Quantgate Systems Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quantgate Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quantgate Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quantgate Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quantgate Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.39
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Quantgate Systems Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quantgate Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quantgate Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quantgate Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Quantgate Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Quantgate Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 256.38 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18 K.
Quantgate Systems currently holds about 2.66 M in cash with (1.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Quantgate Systems Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quantgate OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quantgate Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quantgate Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding282.8 M

Quantgate Systems Technical Analysis

Quantgate Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quantgate OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quantgate Systems. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quantgate OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Quantgate Systems Predictive Forecast Models

Quantgate Systems' time-series forecasting models is one of many Quantgate Systems' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quantgate Systems' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Quantgate Systems

Checking the ongoing alerts about Quantgate Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quantgate Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quantgate Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Quantgate Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Quantgate Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 256.38 K. Net Loss for the year was (1.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 18 K.
Quantgate Systems currently holds about 2.66 M in cash with (1.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Quantgate OTC Stock

Quantgate Systems financial ratios help investors to determine whether Quantgate OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Quantgate with respect to the benefits of owning Quantgate Systems security.