Quality Houses (Thailand) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 11.96

QHPF Fund  THB 4.74  0.00  0.00%   
Quality Houses' future price is the expected price of Quality Houses instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Quality Houses Property performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Quality Houses Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Quality Houses Correlation, Quality Houses Hype Analysis, Quality Houses Volatility, Quality Houses History as well as Quality Houses Performance.
  
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Quality Houses Target Price Odds to finish over 11.96

The tendency of Quality Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  11.96  or more in 90 days
 4.74 90 days 11.96 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quality Houses to move over  11.96  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Quality Houses Property probability density function shows the probability of Quality Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quality Houses Property price to stay between its current price of  4.74  and  11.96  at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Quality Houses Property has a beta of -0.0998 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Quality Houses are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Quality Houses Property is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Quality Houses Property has an alpha of 0.1925, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Quality Houses Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Quality Houses

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quality Houses Property. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.684.746.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.354.416.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.794.856.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.704.744.78
Details

Quality Houses Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quality Houses is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quality Houses' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quality Houses Property, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quality Houses within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Quality Houses Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quality Houses for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quality Houses Property can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Quality Houses Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quality Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quality Houses' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quality Houses' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding797 M
Dividends Paid655.9 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.48
Shares Float483.7 M

Quality Houses Technical Analysis

Quality Houses' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quality Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quality Houses Property. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quality Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Quality Houses Predictive Forecast Models

Quality Houses' time-series forecasting models is one of many Quality Houses' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quality Houses' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Quality Houses Property

Checking the ongoing alerts about Quality Houses for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quality Houses Property help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Quality Fund

Quality Houses financial ratios help investors to determine whether Quality Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Quality with respect to the benefits of owning Quality Houses security.
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