Qingling Motors (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0609

QIN Stock  EUR 0.06  0  2.45%   
Qingling Motors' future price is the expected price of Qingling Motors instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Qingling Motors Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Qingling Motors Backtesting, Qingling Motors Valuation, Qingling Motors Correlation, Qingling Motors Hype Analysis, Qingling Motors Volatility, Qingling Motors History as well as Qingling Motors Performance.
  
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Qingling Motors Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0609

The tendency of Qingling Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 0.06  in 90 days
 0.06 90 days 0.06 
about 29.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qingling Motors to stay above € 0.06  in 90 days from now is about 29.98 (This Qingling Motors Co probability density function shows the probability of Qingling Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qingling Motors price to stay between € 0.06  and its current price of €0.0636 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Qingling Motors Co has a beta of -0.35 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Qingling Motors are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Qingling Motors Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Qingling Motors Co has an alpha of 0.4109, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Qingling Motors Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Qingling Motors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qingling Motors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.063.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.053.81
Details

Qingling Motors Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qingling Motors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qingling Motors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qingling Motors Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qingling Motors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Qingling Motors Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qingling Motors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qingling Motors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Qingling Motors has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Qingling Motors had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Qingling Motors has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Qingling Motors Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qingling Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qingling Motors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qingling Motors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B

Qingling Motors Technical Analysis

Qingling Motors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qingling Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qingling Motors Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qingling Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Qingling Motors Predictive Forecast Models

Qingling Motors' time-series forecasting models is one of many Qingling Motors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qingling Motors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Qingling Motors

Checking the ongoing alerts about Qingling Motors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qingling Motors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Qingling Motors has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Qingling Motors had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Qingling Motors has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Qingling Stock

Qingling Motors financial ratios help investors to determine whether Qingling Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Qingling with respect to the benefits of owning Qingling Motors security.