Qilian International Holding Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.42
| QLIDelisted Stock | USD 8.08 0.12 1.46% |
Qilian |
Qilian International Target Price Odds to finish below 6.42
The tendency of Qilian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 6.42 or more in 90 days |
| 8.08 | 90 days | 6.42 | about 75.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qilian International to drop to $ 6.42 or more in 90 days from now is about 75.63 (This Qilian International Holding probability density function shows the probability of Qilian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qilian International price to stay between $ 6.42 and its current price of $8.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.32 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Qilian International Holding has a beta of -2.94 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Qilian International Holding are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Qilian International is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Qilian International Holding has an alpha of 1.9878, implying that it can generate a 1.99 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Qilian International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Qilian International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qilian International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Qilian International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qilian International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qilian International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qilian International Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qilian International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.99 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Qilian International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qilian International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qilian International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Qilian International is now traded under the symbol BGM. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| Qilian International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Qilian International is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Qilian International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Qilian International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Qilian International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Qilian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Qilian International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qilian International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.3 M |
Qilian International Technical Analysis
Qilian International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qilian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qilian International Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qilian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qilian International Predictive Forecast Models
Qilian International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qilian International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qilian International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qilian International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qilian International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qilian International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Qilian International is now traded under the symbol BGM. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| Qilian International is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Qilian International is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Qilian International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Qilian International has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Other Consideration for investing in Qilian Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Qilian International check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Qilian International's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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