Federated Mdt Small Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 25.44

QLSCX Fund  USD 28.45  0.15  0.52%   
Federated Mdt's future price is the expected price of Federated Mdt instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Federated Mdt Small performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Federated Mdt Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Federated Mdt Correlation, Federated Mdt Hype Analysis, Federated Mdt Volatility, Federated Mdt History as well as Federated Mdt Performance.
  
Please specify Federated Mdt's target price for which you would like Federated Mdt odds to be computed.

Federated Mdt Target Price Odds to finish over 25.44

The tendency of Federated Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 25.44  in 90 days
 28.45 90 days 25.44 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federated Mdt to stay above $ 25.44  in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Federated Mdt Small probability density function shows the probability of Federated Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Federated Mdt Small price to stay between $ 25.44  and its current price of $28.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated Mdt has a beta of 0.24 indicating as returns on the market go up, Federated Mdt average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Federated Mdt Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Federated Mdt Small has an alpha of 0.1599, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Federated Mdt Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Federated Mdt

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federated Mdt Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Federated Mdt's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.2928.4529.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.0928.2529.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.1028.2629.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.2528.7529.25
Details

Federated Mdt Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federated Mdt is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federated Mdt's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federated Mdt Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federated Mdt within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Federated Mdt Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federated Mdt for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federated Mdt Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.6% of its assets in stocks

Federated Mdt Technical Analysis

Federated Mdt's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Federated Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Federated Mdt Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing Federated Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Federated Mdt Predictive Forecast Models

Federated Mdt's time-series forecasting models is one of many Federated Mdt's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Federated Mdt's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Federated Mdt Small

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federated Mdt for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Federated Mdt Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 98.6% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund

Federated Mdt financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Mdt security.
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