Qatar Natl (Egypt) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 33.76
| QNBE Stock | 31.58 0.32 1.00% |
Qatar |
Qatar Natl Target Price Odds to finish over 33.76
The tendency of Qatar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 33.76 or more in 90 days |
| 31.58 | 90 days | 33.76 | about 14.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qatar Natl to move over 33.76 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.69 (This Qatar Natl Bank probability density function shows the probability of Qatar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qatar Natl Bank price to stay between its current price of 31.58 and 33.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qatar Natl has a beta of 0.16 indicating as returns on the market go up, Qatar Natl average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Qatar Natl Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Qatar Natl Bank has an alpha of 0.0217, implying that it can generate a 0.0217 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Qatar Natl Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Qatar Natl
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qatar Natl Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Qatar Natl Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qatar Natl is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qatar Natl's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qatar Natl Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qatar Natl within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Qatar Natl Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qatar Natl for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qatar Natl Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Qatar Natl Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Qatar Natl Technical Analysis
Qatar Natl's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qatar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qatar Natl Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qatar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qatar Natl Predictive Forecast Models
Qatar Natl's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qatar Natl's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qatar Natl's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qatar Natl Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qatar Natl for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qatar Natl Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Qatar Natl Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |