Qnb Finansbank (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 268.43
| QNBTR Stock | 274.00 4.25 1.53% |
Qnb |
Qnb Finansbank Target Price Odds to finish below 268.43
The tendency of Qnb Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 268.43 or more in 90 days |
| 274.00 | 90 days | 268.43 | about 10.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Qnb Finansbank to drop to 268.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.17 (This Qnb Finansbank AS probability density function shows the probability of Qnb Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Qnb Finansbank AS price to stay between 268.43 and its current price of 274.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Qnb Finansbank AS has a beta of -0.12 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Qnb Finansbank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Qnb Finansbank AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Qnb Finansbank AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Qnb Finansbank Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Qnb Finansbank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Qnb Finansbank AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Qnb Finansbank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Qnb Finansbank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Qnb Finansbank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Qnb Finansbank AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Qnb Finansbank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 17.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Qnb Finansbank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Qnb Finansbank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Qnb Finansbank AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Qnb Finansbank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Qnb Finansbank Technical Analysis
Qnb Finansbank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Qnb Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Qnb Finansbank AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Qnb Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Qnb Finansbank Predictive Forecast Models
Qnb Finansbank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Qnb Finansbank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Qnb Finansbank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Qnb Finansbank AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Qnb Finansbank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Qnb Finansbank AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Qnb Finansbank AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |