QPR Software (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.49

QPR1V Stock  EUR 0.57  0.01  1.72%   
QPR Software's future price is the expected price of QPR Software instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of QPR Software Oyj performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out QPR Software Backtesting, QPR Software Valuation, QPR Software Correlation, QPR Software Hype Analysis, QPR Software Volatility, QPR Software History as well as QPR Software Performance.
  
Please specify QPR Software's target price for which you would like QPR Software odds to be computed.

QPR Software Target Price Odds to finish below 0.49

The tendency of QPR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.49  or more in 90 days
 0.57 90 days 0.49 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of QPR Software to drop to € 0.49  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This QPR Software Oyj probability density function shows the probability of QPR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of QPR Software Oyj price to stay between € 0.49  and its current price of €0.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon QPR Software Oyj has a beta of -0.27 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding QPR Software are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, QPR Software Oyj is likely to outperform the market. Additionally QPR Software Oyj has an alpha of 0.0581, implying that it can generate a 0.0581 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   QPR Software Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for QPR Software

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QPR Software Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of QPR Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.573.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.493.20
Details

QPR Software Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. QPR Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the QPR Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold QPR Software Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of QPR Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

QPR Software Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of QPR Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for QPR Software Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
QPR Software Oyj has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 9.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.36 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (939 K).
About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

QPR Software Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of QPR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential QPR Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. QPR Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12 M

QPR Software Technical Analysis

QPR Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QPR Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of QPR Software Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing QPR Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

QPR Software Predictive Forecast Models

QPR Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many QPR Software's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary QPR Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about QPR Software Oyj

Checking the ongoing alerts about QPR Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for QPR Software Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
QPR Software Oyj has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 9.14 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.36 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (939 K).
About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in QPR Stock

QPR Software financial ratios help investors to determine whether QPR Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in QPR with respect to the benefits of owning QPR Software security.