Neos Nasdaq 100 Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 51.56
| QQQI Etf | 53.90 0.23 0.43% |
NEOS |
NEOS Nasdaq Target Price Odds to finish below 51.56
The tendency of NEOS Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 51.56 or more in 90 days |
| 53.90 | 90 days | 51.56 | about 61.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NEOS Nasdaq to drop to 51.56 or more in 90 days from now is about 61.13 (This NEOS Nasdaq 100 probability density function shows the probability of NEOS Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NEOS Nasdaq 100 price to stay between 51.56 and its current price of 53.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.01 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days NEOS Nasdaq has a beta of 0.56 indicating as returns on the market go up, NEOS Nasdaq average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NEOS Nasdaq 100 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NEOS Nasdaq 100 has an alpha of 0.0958, implying that it can generate a 0.0958 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). NEOS Nasdaq Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NEOS Nasdaq
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NEOS Nasdaq 100. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NEOS Nasdaq Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NEOS Nasdaq is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NEOS Nasdaq's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NEOS Nasdaq 100, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NEOS Nasdaq within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
NEOS Nasdaq Technical Analysis
NEOS Nasdaq's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NEOS Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NEOS Nasdaq 100. In general, you should focus on analyzing NEOS Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NEOS Nasdaq Predictive Forecast Models
NEOS Nasdaq's time-series forecasting models is one of many NEOS Nasdaq's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NEOS Nasdaq's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards NEOS Nasdaq in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, NEOS Nasdaq's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from NEOS Nasdaq options trading.
Check out NEOS Nasdaq Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, NEOS Nasdaq Correlation, NEOS Nasdaq Hype Analysis, NEOS Nasdaq Volatility, NEOS Nasdaq History as well as NEOS Nasdaq Performance. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
The market value of NEOS Nasdaq 100 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NEOS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NEOS Nasdaq's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NEOS Nasdaq's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NEOS Nasdaq's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NEOS Nasdaq's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NEOS Nasdaq's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NEOS Nasdaq is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NEOS Nasdaq's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.