Quang Nam (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17600.0

QTC Stock   17,600  0.00  0.00%   
Quang Nam's future price is the expected price of Quang Nam instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Quang Nam Transportation performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Quang Nam Backtesting, Quang Nam Valuation, Quang Nam Correlation, Quang Nam Hype Analysis, Quang Nam Volatility, Quang Nam History as well as Quang Nam Performance.
  
Please specify Quang Nam's target price for which you would like Quang Nam odds to be computed.

Quang Nam Target Price Odds to finish below 17600.0

The tendency of Quang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 17,600 90 days 17,600 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quang Nam to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Quang Nam Transportation probability density function shows the probability of Quang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Quang Nam has a beta of 0.33 indicating as returns on the market go up, Quang Nam average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Quang Nam Transportation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Quang Nam Transportation has an alpha of 0.4108, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Quang Nam Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Quang Nam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quang Nam Transportation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17,59517,60017,605
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,45613,46119,360
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18,83418,83918,844
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13,04415,56718,089
Details

Quang Nam Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quang Nam is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quang Nam's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quang Nam Transportation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quang Nam within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
1,211
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Quang Nam Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quang Nam for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quang Nam Transportation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quang Nam is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Quang Nam appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Quang Nam Technical Analysis

Quang Nam's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quang Nam Transportation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Quang Nam Predictive Forecast Models

Quang Nam's time-series forecasting models is one of many Quang Nam's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quang Nam's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Quang Nam Transportation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Quang Nam for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quang Nam Transportation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Quang Nam is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Quang Nam appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Quang Stock

Quang Nam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Quang Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Quang with respect to the benefits of owning Quang Nam security.