Quad Graphics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.86
| QUAD Stock | USD 7.24 0.07 0.98% |
Quad |
Quad Graphics Target Price Odds to finish below 5.86
The tendency of Quad Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.86 or more in 90 days |
| 7.24 | 90 days | 5.86 | about 60.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quad Graphics to drop to $ 5.86 or more in 90 days from now is about 60.28 (This Quad Graphics probability density function shows the probability of Quad Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quad Graphics price to stay between $ 5.86 and its current price of $7.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.59 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Quad Graphics has a beta of 0.42 indicating as returns on the market go up, Quad Graphics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Quad Graphics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Quad Graphics has an alpha of 0.7005, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Quad Graphics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Quad Graphics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quad Graphics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Quad Graphics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quad Graphics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quad Graphics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quad Graphics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quad Graphics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Quad Graphics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quad Graphics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quad Graphics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Quad Graphics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Quad Graphics currently holds 625.3 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.97, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Quad Graphics has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Quad Graphics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.96 B. Net Loss for the year was (55.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 598.2 M. | |
| About 21.0% of Quad Graphics outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Theres No Escaping QuadGraphics, Inc.s Muted Revenues Despite A 44 percent Share Price Rise |
Quad Graphics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quad Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quad Graphics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quad Graphics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.9 M |
Quad Graphics Technical Analysis
Quad Graphics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quad Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quad Graphics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quad Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Quad Graphics Predictive Forecast Models
Quad Graphics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Quad Graphics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quad Graphics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Quad Graphics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Quad Graphics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quad Graphics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Quad Graphics appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Quad Graphics currently holds 625.3 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.97, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Quad Graphics has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Quad Graphics' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.96 B. Net Loss for the year was (55.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 598.2 M. | |
| About 21.0% of Quad Graphics outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Theres No Escaping QuadGraphics, Inc.s Muted Revenues Despite A 44 percent Share Price Rise |
Check out Quad Graphics Backtesting, Quad Graphics Valuation, Quad Graphics Correlation, Quad Graphics Hype Analysis, Quad Graphics Volatility, Quad Graphics History as well as Quad Graphics Performance. For information on how to trade Quad Stock refer to our How to Trade Quad Stock guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Quad Graphics. If investors know Quad will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Quad Graphics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share 0.15 | Earnings Share (1.63) | Revenue Per Share 57.931 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.0493 |
The market value of Quad Graphics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Quad that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Quad Graphics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Quad Graphics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Quad Graphics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Quad Graphics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Quad Graphics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Quad Graphics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Quad Graphics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.