Quaker Chemical (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 171.44
| QUC Stock | EUR 148.00 1.00 0.68% |
Quaker |
Quaker Chemical Target Price Odds to finish below 171.44
The tendency of Quaker Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 171.44 after 90 days |
| 148.00 | 90 days | 171.44 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Quaker Chemical to stay under € 171.44 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Quaker Chemical probability density function shows the probability of Quaker Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Quaker Chemical price to stay between its current price of € 148.00 and € 171.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 55.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Quaker Chemical has a beta of 0.11 indicating as returns on the market go up, Quaker Chemical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Quaker Chemical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Quaker Chemical has an alpha of 0.0406, implying that it can generate a 0.0406 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Quaker Chemical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Quaker Chemical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quaker Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Quaker Chemical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Quaker Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Quaker Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Quaker Chemical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Quaker Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Quaker Chemical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Quaker Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Quaker Chemical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 1.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (15.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 612.65 M. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Quaker Chemical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Quaker Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Quaker Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Quaker Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18 M |
Quaker Chemical Technical Analysis
Quaker Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Quaker Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Quaker Chemical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Quaker Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Quaker Chemical Predictive Forecast Models
Quaker Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Quaker Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Quaker Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Quaker Chemical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Quaker Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Quaker Chemical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 1.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (15.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 612.65 M. | |
| Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Quaker Stock
When determining whether Quaker Chemical is a strong investment it is important to analyze Quaker Chemical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Quaker Chemical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Quaker Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Quaker Chemical Backtesting, Quaker Chemical Valuation, Quaker Chemical Correlation, Quaker Chemical Hype Analysis, Quaker Chemical Volatility, Quaker Chemical History as well as Quaker Chemical Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Quaker Stock please use our How to Invest in Quaker Chemical guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.