Queste Communications (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0492

QUE Stock   0.05  0.00  0.00%   
Queste Communications' future price is the expected price of Queste Communications instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Queste Communications performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Queste Communications Backtesting, Queste Communications Valuation, Queste Communications Correlation, Queste Communications Hype Analysis, Queste Communications Volatility, Queste Communications History as well as Queste Communications Performance.
  
Please specify Queste Communications' target price for which you would like Queste Communications odds to be computed.

Queste Communications Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0492

The tendency of Queste Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.05  or more in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.05 
about 58.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Queste Communications to move over  0.05  or more in 90 days from now is about 58.44 (This Queste Communications probability density function shows the probability of Queste Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Queste Communications price to stay between its current price of  0.05  and  0.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Queste Communications has a beta of -0.01 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Queste Communications are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Queste Communications is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Queste Communications has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Queste Communications Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Queste Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Queste Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.050.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.040.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0010.050.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.050.05
Details

Queste Communications Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Queste Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Queste Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Queste Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Queste Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.0005
Ir
Information ratio -0.68

Queste Communications Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Queste Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Queste Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Queste Communications generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Queste Communications has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Queste Communications has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Queste Communications Shows Mixed Cash Flow Dynamics - Nasdaq

Queste Communications Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Queste Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Queste Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Queste Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.9 M

Queste Communications Technical Analysis

Queste Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Queste Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Queste Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Queste Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Queste Communications Predictive Forecast Models

Queste Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Queste Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Queste Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Queste Communications

Checking the ongoing alerts about Queste Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Queste Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Queste Communications generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Queste Communications has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Queste Communications has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Queste Communications Shows Mixed Cash Flow Dynamics - Nasdaq

Additional Tools for Queste Stock Analysis

When running Queste Communications' price analysis, check to measure Queste Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Queste Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Queste Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Queste Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Queste Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Queste Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.