Q2 Metals Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.56

QUEXF Stock   0.61  0.03  4.69%   
Q2 Metals' future price is the expected price of Q2 Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Q2 Metals Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Q2 Metals Backtesting, Q2 Metals Valuation, Q2 Metals Correlation, Q2 Metals Hype Analysis, Q2 Metals Volatility, Q2 Metals History as well as Q2 Metals Performance.
  
Please specify Q2 Metals' target price for which you would like Q2 Metals odds to be computed.

Q2 Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.56

The tendency of QUEXF OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.56  or more in 90 days
 0.61 90 days 0.56 
about 24.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Q2 Metals to drop to  0.56  or more in 90 days from now is about 24.63 (This Q2 Metals Corp probability density function shows the probability of QUEXF OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Q2 Metals Corp price to stay between  0.56  and its current price of 0.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Q2 Metals has a beta of 0.0595 indicating as returns on the market go up, Q2 Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Q2 Metals Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Q2 Metals Corp has an alpha of 0.828, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Q2 Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Q2 Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Q2 Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Q2 Metals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.6110.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.5510.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.5710.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.540.650.76
Details

Q2 Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Q2 Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Q2 Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Q2 Metals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Q2 Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.83
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Q2 Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Q2 Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Q2 Metals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Q2 Metals Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Q2 Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Q2 Metals Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Q2 Metals Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.08 K).
Q2 Metals generates negative cash flow from operations

Q2 Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of QUEXF OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Q2 Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Q2 Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding40.3 M

Q2 Metals Technical Analysis

Q2 Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QUEXF OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Q2 Metals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing QUEXF OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Q2 Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Q2 Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Q2 Metals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Q2 Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Q2 Metals Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Q2 Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Q2 Metals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Q2 Metals Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Q2 Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Q2 Metals Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Q2 Metals Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.25 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.08 K).
Q2 Metals generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in QUEXF OTC Stock

Q2 Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether QUEXF OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in QUEXF with respect to the benefits of owning Q2 Metals security.