Qvc 6375 Percent Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.15
| QVCD Stock | USD 13.05 0.07 0.54% |
QVC |
QVC 6375 Target Price Odds to finish below 12.15
The tendency of QVC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.15 or more in 90 days |
| 13.05 | 90 days | 12.15 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of QVC 6375 to drop to $ 12.15 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This QVC 6375 percent probability density function shows the probability of QVC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of QVC 6375 percent price to stay between $ 12.15 and its current price of $13.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.81 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days QVC 6375 has a beta of 0.76 indicating as returns on the market go up, QVC 6375 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding QVC 6375 percent will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally QVC 6375 percent has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. QVC 6375 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for QVC 6375
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QVC 6375 percent. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of QVC 6375's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
QVC 6375 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. QVC 6375 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the QVC 6375's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold QVC 6375 percent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of QVC 6375 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
QVC 6375 Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of QVC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential QVC 6375's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. QVC 6375's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | -437 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 307 M |
QVC 6375 Technical Analysis
QVC 6375's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. QVC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of QVC 6375 percent. In general, you should focus on analyzing QVC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
QVC 6375 Predictive Forecast Models
QVC 6375's time-series forecasting models is one of many QVC 6375's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary QVC 6375's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards QVC 6375 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, QVC 6375's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from QVC 6375 options trading.
Check out QVC 6375 Backtesting, QVC 6375 Valuation, QVC 6375 Correlation, QVC 6375 Hype Analysis, QVC 6375 Volatility, QVC 6375 History as well as QVC 6375 Performance. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of QVC 6375. If investors know QVC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about QVC 6375 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of QVC 6375 percent is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of QVC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of QVC 6375's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is QVC 6375's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because QVC 6375's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect QVC 6375's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between QVC 6375's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if QVC 6375 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, QVC 6375's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.