Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.14

RAAAX Fund  USD 13.63  0.02  0.15%   
Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's future price is the expected price of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Correlation, Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Hype Analysis, Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Volatility, Altegrisaaca Opportunistic History as well as Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Performance.
  
Please specify Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's target price for which you would like Altegrisaaca Opportunistic odds to be computed.

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Target Price Odds to finish over 13.14

The tendency of Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 13.14  in 90 days
 13.63 90 days 13.14 
about 75.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic to stay above $ 13.14  in 90 days from now is about 75.13 (This Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real probability density function shows the probability of Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic price to stay between $ 13.14  and its current price of $13.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.93 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real has a beta of -0.0199 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Altegrisaaca Opportunistic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real has an alpha of 0.125, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Altegrisaaca Opportunistic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altegrisaaca Opportunistic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.7513.6314.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.6813.5614.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.6913.5714.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.7813.3513.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altegrisaaca Opportunistic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Altegrisaaca Opportunistic.

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Altegrisaaca Opportunistic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Altegrisaaca Opportunistic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -8.0%
Altegrisaaca Opportunistic maintains 102.7% of its assets in stocks

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Technical Analysis

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Predictive Forecast Models

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Altegrisaaca Opportunistic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Altegrisaaca Opportunistic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Altegrisaaca Opportunistic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -8.0%
Altegrisaaca Opportunistic maintains 102.7% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Altegrisaaca with respect to the benefits of owning Altegrisaaca Opportunistic security.
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