Rite Aid Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.43
| RADDelisted Stock | USD 1.56 0.04 2.50% |
Rite |
Rite Aid Target Price Odds to finish over 1.43
The tendency of Rite Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.43 in 90 days |
| 1.56 | 90 days | 1.43 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rite Aid to stay above $ 1.43 in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Rite Aid probability density function shows the probability of Rite Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rite Aid price to stay between $ 1.43 and its current price of $1.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.04 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Rite Aid has a beta of 0.43 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rite Aid average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rite Aid will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rite Aid has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Rite Aid Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rite Aid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rite Aid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rite Aid Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rite Aid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rite Aid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rite Aid, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rite Aid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Rite Aid Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rite Aid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rite Aid can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rite Aid is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Rite Aid may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Rite Aid has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 24.09 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (749.94 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.8 B. | |
| Rite Aid has about 157.15 M in cash with (52.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.83. |
Rite Aid Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rite Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rite Aid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rite Aid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 157.2 M |
Rite Aid Technical Analysis
Rite Aid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rite Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rite Aid. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rite Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rite Aid Predictive Forecast Models
Rite Aid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rite Aid's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rite Aid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rite Aid
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rite Aid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rite Aid help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rite Aid is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Rite Aid may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Rite Aid has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 24.09 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (749.94 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.8 B. | |
| Rite Aid has about 157.15 M in cash with (52.44 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.83. |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Other Consideration for investing in Rite Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Rite Aid check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Rite Aid's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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