Rand Capital Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.82
| RAND Stock | USD 16.50 0.10 0.61% |
Rand |
Rand Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 13.82
The tendency of Rand Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.82 or more in 90 days |
| 16.50 | 90 days | 13.82 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rand Capital to drop to $ 13.82 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Rand Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of Rand Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rand Capital Corp price to stay between $ 13.82 and its current price of $16.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.61 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rand Capital has a beta of 0.11 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rand Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rand Capital Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rand Capital Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Rand Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rand Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rand Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rand Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rand Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rand Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rand Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rand Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Rand Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rand Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rand Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rand Capital Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rand Capital Corp currently holds 16.25 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.18, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Rand Capital Corp has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Rand Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Rand Capital Corp currently holds about 1.19 M in cash with (8.34 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.46. | |
| Rand Capital Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 76.0% of Rand Capital outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Gusky Adam Samuel of 200 shares of Rand Capital at 16.1 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Rand Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rand Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rand Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rand Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M |
Rand Capital Technical Analysis
Rand Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rand Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rand Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rand Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rand Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Rand Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rand Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rand Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rand Capital Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rand Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rand Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rand Capital Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rand Capital Corp currently holds 16.25 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.18, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Rand Capital Corp has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Rand Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Rand Capital Corp currently holds about 1.19 M in cash with (8.34 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.46. | |
| Rand Capital Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 76.0% of Rand Capital outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Gusky Adam Samuel of 200 shares of Rand Capital at 16.1 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Rand Capital Backtesting, Rand Capital Valuation, Rand Capital Correlation, Rand Capital Hype Analysis, Rand Capital Volatility, Rand Capital History as well as Rand Capital Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rand Capital. If investors know Rand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rand Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.427 | Dividend Share 1.08 | Earnings Share 4.98 | Revenue Per Share 3.236 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.274 |
The market value of Rand Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rand Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rand Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rand Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rand Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rand Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rand Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rand Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.