Rapala VMC (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.78
| RAP1V Stock | EUR 2.00 0.04 1.96% |
Rapala |
Rapala VMC Target Price Odds to finish over 3.78
The tendency of Rapala Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 3.78 or more in 90 days |
| 2.00 | 90 days | 3.78 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rapala VMC to move over € 3.78 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Rapala VMC Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Rapala Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rapala VMC Oyj price to stay between its current price of € 2.00 and € 3.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rapala VMC Oyj has a beta of -0.14 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rapala VMC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rapala VMC Oyj is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rapala VMC Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Rapala VMC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rapala VMC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rapala VMC Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rapala VMC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rapala VMC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rapala VMC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rapala VMC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rapala VMC Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rapala VMC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Rapala VMC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rapala VMC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rapala VMC Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rapala VMC Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rapala VMC Oyj has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Rapala VMC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rapala Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rapala VMC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rapala VMC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.9 M |
Rapala VMC Technical Analysis
Rapala VMC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rapala Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rapala VMC Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rapala Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rapala VMC Predictive Forecast Models
Rapala VMC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Rapala VMC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rapala VMC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rapala VMC Oyj
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rapala VMC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rapala VMC Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rapala VMC Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Rapala VMC Oyj has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Rapala Stock
Rapala VMC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rapala Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rapala with respect to the benefits of owning Rapala VMC security.