Multi Asset Growth Strategy Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.72

RAZCX Fund  USD 10.79  0.04  0.37%   
Multi-asset Growth's future price is the expected price of Multi-asset Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Multi Asset Growth Strategy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Multi-asset Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Multi-asset Growth Correlation, Multi-asset Growth Hype Analysis, Multi-asset Growth Volatility, Multi-asset Growth History as well as Multi-asset Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Multi-asset Growth's target price for which you would like Multi-asset Growth odds to be computed.

Multi-asset Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 10.72

The tendency of Multi-asset Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 10.72  or more in 90 days
 10.79 90 days 10.72 
about 44.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Multi-asset Growth to drop to $ 10.72  or more in 90 days from now is about 44.93 (This Multi Asset Growth Strategy probability density function shows the probability of Multi-asset Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Multi Asset Growth price to stay between $ 10.72  and its current price of $10.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Multi-asset Growth has a beta of 0.29 indicating as returns on the market go up, Multi-asset Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Multi Asset Growth Strategy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Multi Asset Growth Strategy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Multi-asset Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Multi-asset Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Multi Asset Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Multi-asset Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3910.7911.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3710.7711.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4510.8611.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5610.6910.83
Details

Multi-asset Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Multi-asset Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Multi-asset Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Multi Asset Growth Strategy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Multi-asset Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.28

Multi-asset Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Multi-asset Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Multi Asset Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 20.0% of its assets in cash

Multi-asset Growth Technical Analysis

Multi-asset Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Multi-asset Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Multi Asset Growth Strategy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Multi-asset Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Multi-asset Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Multi-asset Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Multi-asset Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Multi-asset Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Multi Asset Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Multi-asset Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Multi Asset Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 20.0% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Multi-asset Mutual Fund

Multi-asset Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Multi-asset Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Multi-asset with respect to the benefits of owning Multi-asset Growth security.
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