Raiffeisen Bank (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.22
| RBI Stock | EUR 18.08 0.08 0.44% |
Raiffeisen |
Raiffeisen Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 20.22
The tendency of Raiffeisen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 20.22 or more in 90 days |
| 18.08 | 90 days | 20.22 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Raiffeisen Bank to move over € 20.22 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Raiffeisen Bank International probability density function shows the probability of Raiffeisen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Raiffeisen Bank Inte price to stay between its current price of € 18.08 and € 20.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Raiffeisen Bank will likely underperform. Additionally Raiffeisen Bank International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Raiffeisen Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Raiffeisen Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raiffeisen Bank Inte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Raiffeisen Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Raiffeisen Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Raiffeisen Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Raiffeisen Bank International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Raiffeisen Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.005 |
Raiffeisen Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Raiffeisen Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Raiffeisen Bank Inte can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Raiffeisen Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Raiffeisen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Raiffeisen Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raiffeisen Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 328.6 M |
Raiffeisen Bank Technical Analysis
Raiffeisen Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Raiffeisen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Raiffeisen Bank International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Raiffeisen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Raiffeisen Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Raiffeisen Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Raiffeisen Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Raiffeisen Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Raiffeisen Bank Inte
Checking the ongoing alerts about Raiffeisen Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Raiffeisen Bank Inte help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Raiffeisen Stock
Raiffeisen Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Raiffeisen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Raiffeisen with respect to the benefits of owning Raiffeisen Bank security.