Roblon AS (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 100.44

RBLN-B Stock  DKK 100.00  3.00  2.91%   
Roblon AS's future price is the expected price of Roblon AS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Roblon AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Roblon AS Backtesting, Roblon AS Valuation, Roblon AS Correlation, Roblon AS Hype Analysis, Roblon AS Volatility, Roblon AS History as well as Roblon AS Performance.
  
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Roblon AS Target Price Odds to finish over 100.44

The tendency of Roblon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 100.44  or more in 90 days
 100.00 90 days 100.44 
roughly 2.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Roblon AS to move over kr 100.44  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.24 (This Roblon AS probability density function shows the probability of Roblon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Roblon AS price to stay between its current price of kr 100.00  and kr 100.44  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Roblon AS has a beta of -0.0072 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Roblon AS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Roblon AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Roblon AS has an alpha of 0.2947, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Roblon AS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Roblon AS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roblon AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.04100.00101.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.4782.42110.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
101.50103.46105.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
92.3197.36102.41
Details

Roblon AS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Roblon AS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Roblon AS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Roblon AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Roblon AS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0072
σ
Overall volatility
2.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Roblon AS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Roblon AS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Roblon AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 380.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 183.37 M.
Roblon AS has accumulated about 69.9 M in cash with (27.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 39.16.
Roughly 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Roblon AS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Roblon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Roblon AS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Roblon AS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 M

Roblon AS Technical Analysis

Roblon AS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Roblon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Roblon AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Roblon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Roblon AS Predictive Forecast Models

Roblon AS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Roblon AS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Roblon AS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Roblon AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Roblon AS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Roblon AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 380.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 183.37 M.
Roblon AS has accumulated about 69.9 M in cash with (27.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 39.16.
Roughly 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Roblon Stock

Roblon AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Roblon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Roblon with respect to the benefits of owning Roblon AS security.