Raubex (South Africa) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2497.0

RBX Stock   5,349  23.00  0.43%   
Raubex's future price is the expected price of Raubex instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Raubex performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Raubex Backtesting, Raubex Valuation, Raubex Correlation, Raubex Hype Analysis, Raubex Volatility, Raubex History as well as Raubex Performance.
  
Please specify Raubex's target price for which you would like Raubex odds to be computed.

Raubex Target Price Odds to finish below 2497.0

The tendency of Raubex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2,497  or more in 90 days
 5,349 90 days 2,497 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Raubex to drop to  2,497  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Raubex probability density function shows the probability of Raubex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Raubex price to stay between  2,497  and its current price of 5349.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Raubex has a beta of 0.19 indicating as returns on the market go up, Raubex average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Raubex will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Raubex has an alpha of 0.0756, implying that it can generate a 0.0756 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Raubex Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Raubex

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raubex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,3475,3495,351
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,4404,4425,884
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,0985,1005,102
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,6015,1645,727
Details

Raubex Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Raubex is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Raubex's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Raubex, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Raubex within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
273.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.0091

Raubex Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Raubex for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Raubex can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Raubex Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Raubex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Raubex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raubex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding182 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

Raubex Technical Analysis

Raubex's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Raubex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Raubex. In general, you should focus on analyzing Raubex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Raubex Predictive Forecast Models

Raubex's time-series forecasting models is one of many Raubex's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Raubex's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Raubex

Checking the ongoing alerts about Raubex for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Raubex help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Raubex Stock

Raubex financial ratios help investors to determine whether Raubex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Raubex with respect to the benefits of owning Raubex security.