Ready Capital Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 18.78

RC-PE Preferred Stock   18.97  0.05  0.26%   
Ready Capital's future price is the expected price of Ready Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ready Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ready Capital Backtesting, Ready Capital Valuation, Ready Capital Correlation, Ready Capital Hype Analysis, Ready Capital Volatility, Ready Capital History as well as Ready Capital Performance.
For information on how to trade Ready Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Ready Preferred Stock guide.
  
Please specify Ready Capital's target price for which you would like Ready Capital odds to be computed.

Ready Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 18.78

The tendency of Ready Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  18.78  or more in 90 days
 18.97 90 days 18.78 
about 23.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ready Capital to drop to  18.78  or more in 90 days from now is about 23.4 (This Ready Capital probability density function shows the probability of Ready Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ready Capital price to stay between  18.78  and its current price of 18.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ready Capital has a beta of 0.077 indicating as returns on the market go up, Ready Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ready Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ready Capital has an alpha of 0.0249, implying that it can generate a 0.0249 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ready Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ready Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ready Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2818.9219.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.9817.6220.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.3118.9519.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.7319.0819.43
Details

Ready Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ready Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ready Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ready Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ready Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Ready Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ready Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ready Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ready Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments281.7 M

Ready Capital Technical Analysis

Ready Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ready Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ready Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ready Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ready Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Ready Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ready Capital's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ready Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ready Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ready Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ready Capital options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Ready Preferred Stock

Ready Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ready Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ready with respect to the benefits of owning Ready Capital security.