Regional Container (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 403.80

RCL-R Stock  THB 28.25  0.50  1.74%   
Regional Container's future price is the expected price of Regional Container instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Regional Container Lines performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Regional Container Backtesting, Regional Container Valuation, Regional Container Correlation, Regional Container Hype Analysis, Regional Container Volatility, Regional Container History as well as Regional Container Performance.
  
Please specify Regional Container's target price for which you would like Regional Container odds to be computed.

Regional Container Target Price Odds to finish over 403.80

The tendency of Regional Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  403.80  or more in 90 days
 28.25 90 days 403.80 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regional Container to move over  403.80  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Regional Container Lines probability density function shows the probability of Regional Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regional Container Lines price to stay between its current price of  28.25  and  403.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Regional Container has a beta of 0.12 indicating as returns on the market go up, Regional Container average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Regional Container Lines will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Regional Container Lines has an alpha of 0.3952, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Regional Container Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Regional Container

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regional Container Lines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.4629.252,954
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.1021.942,947
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.6030.10158.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.4127.5929.77
Details

Regional Container Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regional Container is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regional Container's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regional Container Lines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regional Container within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
3.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Regional Container Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regional Container for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regional Container Lines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Regional Container is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Regional Container appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Regional Container Lines has accumulated 522.91 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.48, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Regional Container Lines has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Regional Container until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Regional Container's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Regional Container Lines sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Regional to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Regional Container's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Regional Container Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regional Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regional Container's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regional Container's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding828.8 M

Regional Container Technical Analysis

Regional Container's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regional Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regional Container Lines. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regional Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Regional Container Predictive Forecast Models

Regional Container's time-series forecasting models is one of many Regional Container's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regional Container's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Regional Container Lines

Checking the ongoing alerts about Regional Container for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regional Container Lines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Regional Container is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Regional Container appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Regional Container Lines has accumulated 522.91 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.48, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Regional Container Lines has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Regional Container until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Regional Container's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Regional Container Lines sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Regional to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Regional Container's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Regional Stock

Regional Container financial ratios help investors to determine whether Regional Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Regional with respect to the benefits of owning Regional Container security.