Regional Container (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.78

RCL Stock  THB 28.25  1.00  3.67%   
Regional Container's future price is the expected price of Regional Container instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Regional Container Lines performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Regional Container Backtesting, Regional Container Valuation, Regional Container Correlation, Regional Container Hype Analysis, Regional Container Volatility, Regional Container History as well as Regional Container Performance.
  
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Regional Container Target Price Odds to finish below 24.78

The tendency of Regional Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  24.78  or more in 90 days
 28.25 90 days 24.78 
about 60.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regional Container to drop to  24.78  or more in 90 days from now is about 60.49 (This Regional Container Lines probability density function shows the probability of Regional Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regional Container Lines price to stay between  24.78  and its current price of 28.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Regional Container Lines has a beta of -0.4 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Regional Container are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Regional Container Lines is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Regional Container Lines has an alpha of 0.4609, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Regional Container Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Regional Container

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regional Container Lines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.1227.2530.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.7721.9029.98
Details

Regional Container Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regional Container is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regional Container's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regional Container Lines, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regional Container within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Regional Container Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regional Container for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regional Container Lines can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Regional Container had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Regional Container Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regional Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regional Container's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regional Container's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding828.8 M

Regional Container Technical Analysis

Regional Container's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regional Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regional Container Lines. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regional Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Regional Container Predictive Forecast Models

Regional Container's time-series forecasting models is one of many Regional Container's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regional Container's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Regional Container Lines

Checking the ongoing alerts about Regional Container for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regional Container Lines help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Regional Container had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Regional Stock

Regional Container financial ratios help investors to determine whether Regional Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Regional with respect to the benefits of owning Regional Container security.