Rochester Resources Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.0117

RCTFF Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
Rochester Resources' future price is the expected price of Rochester Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Rochester Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Rochester Resources Backtesting, Rochester Resources Valuation, Rochester Resources Correlation, Rochester Resources Hype Analysis, Rochester Resources Volatility, Rochester Resources History as well as Rochester Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Rochester Resources' target price for which you would like Rochester Resources odds to be computed.

Rochester Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0117

The tendency of Rochester Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 69.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rochester Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.7 (This Rochester Resources probability density function shows the probability of Rochester Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rochester Resources has a beta of 0.79 indicating as returns on the market go up, Rochester Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rochester Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Rochester Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Rochester Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rochester Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rochester Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.017.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.017.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.017.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rochester Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rochester Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rochester Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rochester Resources.

Rochester Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rochester Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rochester Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rochester Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rochester Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Rochester Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rochester Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rochester Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rochester Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rochester Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rochester Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Rochester Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Rochester Resources has accumulated 8.35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.22, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Rochester Resources has a current ratio of 0.14, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rochester Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rochester Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rochester Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rochester to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rochester Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 13.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 425.32 K.
About 61.0% of Rochester Resources outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Rochester Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rochester Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rochester Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rochester Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.1 M

Rochester Resources Technical Analysis

Rochester Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rochester Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rochester Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rochester Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Rochester Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Rochester Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Rochester Resources' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rochester Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Rochester Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rochester Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rochester Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rochester Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rochester Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rochester Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Rochester Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Rochester Resources has accumulated 8.35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.22, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Rochester Resources has a current ratio of 0.14, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Rochester Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Rochester Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Rochester Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Rochester to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Rochester Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 13.82 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 425.32 K.
About 61.0% of Rochester Resources outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Rochester Pink Sheet

Rochester Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rochester Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rochester with respect to the benefits of owning Rochester Resources security.