Capital World Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.07
| RCWGX Fund | USD 15.93 0.02 0.13% |
Capital |
Capital World Target Price Odds to finish below 16.07
The tendency of Capital Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 16.07 after 90 days |
| 15.93 | 90 days | 16.07 | about 9.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital World to stay under $ 16.07 after 90 days from now is about 9.47 (This Capital World Bond probability density function shows the probability of Capital Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital World Bond price to stay between its current price of $ 15.93 and $ 16.07 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Capital World Bond has a beta of -0.0493 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Capital World are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Capital World Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Capital World Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Capital World Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Capital World
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital World Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Capital World Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital World Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.49 |
Capital World Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital World Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Capital World Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Capital World Bond generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 7.78% of its assets in cash |
Capital World Technical Analysis
Capital World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital World Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Capital World Predictive Forecast Models
Capital World's time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital World's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Capital World Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital World Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Capital World Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Capital World Bond generated five year return of -2.0% | |
| This fund maintains about 7.78% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Capital Mutual Fund
Capital World financial ratios help investors to determine whether Capital Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Capital with respect to the benefits of owning Capital World security.
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