Raiden Resources (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.015

RDN Stock   0.01  0  11.76%   
Raiden Resources' future price is the expected price of Raiden Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Raiden Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Raiden Resources Backtesting, Raiden Resources Valuation, Raiden Resources Correlation, Raiden Resources Hype Analysis, Raiden Resources Volatility, Raiden Resources History as well as Raiden Resources Performance.
  
Please specify Raiden Resources' target price for which you would like Raiden Resources odds to be computed.

Raiden Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.015

The tendency of Raiden Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Raiden Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Raiden Resources probability density function shows the probability of Raiden Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Raiden Resources has a beta of -0.85 indicating Additionally Raiden Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Raiden Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Raiden Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Raiden Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.026.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.016.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00020.016.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.020.03
Details

Raiden Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Raiden Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Raiden Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Raiden Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Raiden Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.85
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Raiden Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Raiden Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Raiden Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Raiden Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Raiden Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Raiden Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 359.87 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 461.
Raiden Resources has accumulated about 536.16 K in cash with (2.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Raiden Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Raiden Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Raiden Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Raiden Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments5.9 M

Raiden Resources Technical Analysis

Raiden Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Raiden Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Raiden Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Raiden Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Raiden Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Raiden Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Raiden Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Raiden Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Raiden Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Raiden Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Raiden Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Raiden Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Raiden Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Raiden Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 359.87 K. Net Loss for the year was (3.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 461.
Raiden Resources has accumulated about 536.16 K in cash with (2.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Raiden Stock Analysis

When running Raiden Resources' price analysis, check to measure Raiden Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Raiden Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Raiden Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Raiden Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Raiden Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Raiden Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.