RangDong Plastic (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1390.0

RDP Stock   1,290  80.00  5.84%   
RangDong Plastic's future price is the expected price of RangDong Plastic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of RangDong Plastic JSC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out RangDong Plastic Backtesting, RangDong Plastic Valuation, RangDong Plastic Correlation, RangDong Plastic Hype Analysis, RangDong Plastic Volatility, RangDong Plastic History as well as RangDong Plastic Performance.
  
Please specify RangDong Plastic's target price for which you would like RangDong Plastic odds to be computed.

RangDong Plastic Target Price Odds to finish below 1390.0

The tendency of RangDong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  1,390  after 90 days
 1,290 90 days 1,390 
about 1.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RangDong Plastic to stay under  1,390  after 90 days from now is about 1.64 (This RangDong Plastic JSC probability density function shows the probability of RangDong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RangDong Plastic JSC price to stay between its current price of  1,290  and  1,390  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RangDong Plastic has a beta of 0.0342 indicating as returns on the market go up, RangDong Plastic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding RangDong Plastic JSC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally RangDong Plastic JSC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   RangDong Plastic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for RangDong Plastic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RangDong Plastic JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2871,2901,293
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,2351,2381,419
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0791,0821,085
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,3261,6942,061
Details

RangDong Plastic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RangDong Plastic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RangDong Plastic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RangDong Plastic JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RangDong Plastic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
334.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.38

RangDong Plastic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RangDong Plastic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RangDong Plastic JSC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RangDong Plastic JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

RangDong Plastic Technical Analysis

RangDong Plastic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RangDong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RangDong Plastic JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing RangDong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

RangDong Plastic Predictive Forecast Models

RangDong Plastic's time-series forecasting models is one of many RangDong Plastic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RangDong Plastic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about RangDong Plastic JSC

Checking the ongoing alerts about RangDong Plastic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RangDong Plastic JSC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
RangDong Plastic JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in RangDong Stock

RangDong Plastic financial ratios help investors to determine whether RangDong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RangDong with respect to the benefits of owning RangDong Plastic security.