Colas SA Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 340.69
| REDelisted Stock | USD 351.28 4.45 1.28% |
Colas |
Colas SA Target Price Odds to finish below 340.69
The tendency of Colas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 340.69 or more in 90 days |
| 351.28 | 90 days | 340.69 | about 10.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Colas SA to drop to $ 340.69 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.39 (This Colas SA probability density function shows the probability of Colas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Colas SA price to stay between $ 340.69 and its current price of $351.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.29 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Colas SA has a beta of 0.37 indicating as returns on the market go up, Colas SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Colas SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Colas SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Colas SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Colas SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colas SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Colas SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Colas SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Colas SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Colas SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Colas SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Colas SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Colas SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Colas SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Colas SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Colas SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Colas SA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Colas SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Colas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Colas SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colas SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.7 B |
Colas SA Technical Analysis
Colas SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Colas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Colas SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Colas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Colas SA Predictive Forecast Models
Colas SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Colas SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Colas SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Colas SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Colas SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Colas SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Colas SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Colas SA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Other Consideration for investing in Colas Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Colas SA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Colas SA's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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