Reach Subsea (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.6

REACH Stock  NOK 9.26  0.18  1.91%   
Reach Subsea's future price is the expected price of Reach Subsea instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Reach Subsea performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Reach Subsea Backtesting, Reach Subsea Valuation, Reach Subsea Correlation, Reach Subsea Hype Analysis, Reach Subsea Volatility, Reach Subsea History as well as Reach Subsea Performance.
  
Please specify Reach Subsea's target price for which you would like Reach Subsea odds to be computed.

Reach Subsea Target Price Odds to finish below 7.6

The tendency of Reach Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  7.60  or more in 90 days
 9.26 90 days 7.60 
about 15.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reach Subsea to drop to  7.60  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.14 (This Reach Subsea probability density function shows the probability of Reach Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Reach Subsea price to stay between  7.60  and its current price of 9.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Reach Subsea has a beta of 0.18 indicating as returns on the market go up, Reach Subsea average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Reach Subsea will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Reach Subsea has an alpha of 0.0499, implying that it can generate a 0.0499 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Reach Subsea Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Reach Subsea

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reach Subsea. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.459.2612.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.617.4210.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.489.2912.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.159.329.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Reach Subsea. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Reach Subsea's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Reach Subsea's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Reach Subsea.

Reach Subsea Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reach Subsea is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reach Subsea's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reach Subsea, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reach Subsea within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Reach Subsea Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reach Subsea for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reach Subsea can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reach Subsea has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Reach Subsea has accumulated 119.67 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 149.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Reach Subsea has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Reach Subsea until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Reach Subsea's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Reach Subsea sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Reach to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Reach Subsea's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 81.0% of Reach Subsea outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Reach Subsea Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Reach Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Reach Subsea's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reach Subsea's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding143.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments142.7 M

Reach Subsea Technical Analysis

Reach Subsea's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Reach Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Reach Subsea. In general, you should focus on analyzing Reach Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Reach Subsea Predictive Forecast Models

Reach Subsea's time-series forecasting models is one of many Reach Subsea's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Reach Subsea's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Reach Subsea

Checking the ongoing alerts about Reach Subsea for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Reach Subsea help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reach Subsea has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Reach Subsea has accumulated 119.67 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 149.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Reach Subsea has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Reach Subsea until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Reach Subsea's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Reach Subsea sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Reach to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Reach Subsea's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 81.0% of Reach Subsea outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Reach Stock

Reach Subsea financial ratios help investors to determine whether Reach Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Reach with respect to the benefits of owning Reach Subsea security.