Real Consulting (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.29

REALCONS   3.21  0.03  0.93%   
Real Consulting's future price is the expected price of Real Consulting instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Real Consulting IT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Real Consulting Backtesting, Real Consulting Valuation, Real Consulting Correlation, Real Consulting Hype Analysis, Real Consulting Volatility, Real Consulting History as well as Real Consulting Performance.
  
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Real Consulting Target Price Odds to finish below 1.29

The tendency of Real Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1.29  or more in 90 days
 3.21 90 days 1.29 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Real Consulting to drop to  1.29  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Real Consulting IT probability density function shows the probability of Real Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Real Consulting IT price to stay between  1.29  and its current price of 3.21 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Real Consulting IT has a beta of -0.14 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Real Consulting are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Real Consulting IT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Real Consulting IT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Real Consulting Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Real Consulting

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Real Consulting IT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Real Consulting's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.213.215.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.203.205.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.173.175.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.193.223.25
Details

Real Consulting Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Real Consulting is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Real Consulting's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Real Consulting IT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Real Consulting within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Real Consulting Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Real Consulting for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Real Consulting IT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Real Consulting IT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Real Consulting Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Real Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Real Consulting's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Real Consulting's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0274
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.06

Real Consulting Technical Analysis

Real Consulting's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Real Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Real Consulting IT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Real Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Real Consulting Predictive Forecast Models

Real Consulting's time-series forecasting models is one of many Real Consulting's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Real Consulting's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Real Consulting IT

Checking the ongoing alerts about Real Consulting for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Real Consulting IT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Real Consulting IT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Real Stock

Real Consulting financial ratios help investors to determine whether Real Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Real with respect to the benefits of owning Real Consulting security.