Rectitude Holdings Ltd Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.7
| RECT Stock | 4.68 0.63 15.56% |
Rectitude |
Rectitude Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 3.7
The tendency of Rectitude Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.70 or more in 90 days |
| 4.68 | 90 days | 3.70 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rectitude Holdings to drop to 3.70 or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Rectitude Holdings Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Rectitude Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rectitude Holdings price to stay between 3.70 and its current price of 4.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rectitude Holdings has a beta of 0.85 indicating Rectitude Holdings Ltd market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Rectitude Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally Rectitude Holdings Ltd has an alpha of 0.292, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Rectitude Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rectitude Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rectitude Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rectitude Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rectitude Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rectitude Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rectitude Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rectitude Holdings Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rectitude Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Rectitude Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rectitude Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rectitude Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rectitude Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Rectitude Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rectitude Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rectitude Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rectitude Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 M |
Rectitude Holdings Technical Analysis
Rectitude Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rectitude Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rectitude Holdings Ltd. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rectitude Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rectitude Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Rectitude Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Rectitude Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rectitude Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rectitude Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rectitude Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rectitude Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rectitude Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Rectitude Stock Analysis
When running Rectitude Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Rectitude Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rectitude Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Rectitude Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rectitude Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rectitude Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rectitude Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.