Redington (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 193.41

REDINGTON   191.23  3.46  1.78%   
Redington's future price is the expected price of Redington instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Redington Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Redington Backtesting, Redington Valuation, Redington Correlation, Redington Hype Analysis, Redington Volatility, Redington History as well as Redington Performance.
  
Please specify Redington's target price for which you would like Redington odds to be computed.

Redington Target Price Odds to finish over 193.41

The tendency of Redington Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  193.41  or more in 90 days
 191.23 90 days 193.41 
about 34.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Redington to move over  193.41  or more in 90 days from now is about 34.21 (This Redington Limited probability density function shows the probability of Redington Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Redington Limited price to stay between its current price of  191.23  and  193.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.84 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Redington has a beta of 0.0206 indicating as returns on the market go up, Redington average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Redington Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Redington Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Redington Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Redington

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Redington Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
192.97195.14197.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
176.47178.64214.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
183.24185.41187.58
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Redington Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Redington is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Redington's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Redington Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Redington within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
10.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Redington Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Redington for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Redington Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Redington Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Redington Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Praxis Home Retail Reports Mixed Financial Results for Q2 2024-2025 - MarketsMojo

Redington Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Redington Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Redington's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Redington's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding781.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.1 B

Redington Technical Analysis

Redington's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Redington Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Redington Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Redington Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Redington Predictive Forecast Models

Redington's time-series forecasting models is one of many Redington's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Redington's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Redington Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Redington for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Redington Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Redington Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Redington Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Praxis Home Retail Reports Mixed Financial Results for Q2 2024-2025 - MarketsMojo

Additional Tools for Redington Stock Analysis

When running Redington's price analysis, check to measure Redington's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Redington is operating at the current time. Most of Redington's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Redington's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Redington's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Redington to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.