Reeds Inc Chance of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 3.56

REEDDelisted Stock  USD 3.91  0.69  21.43%   
Reeds' future price is the expected price of Reeds instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Reeds Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
  
Please specify Reeds' target price for which you would like Reeds odds to be computed.

Reeds Target Price Odds to finish below 3.56

The tendency of Reeds OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.56  or more in 90 days
 3.91 90 days 3.56 
about 17.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Reeds to drop to $ 3.56  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.84 (This Reeds Inc probability density function shows the probability of Reeds OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Reeds Inc price to stay between $ 3.56  and its current price of $3.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.87 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Reeds Inc has a beta of -1.32 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Reeds Inc are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Reeds is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Reeds Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Reeds Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Reeds

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reeds Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reeds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.913.913.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.713.714.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.204.204.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.073.624.17
Details

Reeds Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Reeds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Reeds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Reeds Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Reeds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Reeds Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Reeds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Reeds Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reeds Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Reeds Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 49.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.6 M.
Reeds Inc currently holds about 25 K in cash with (17.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Reeds Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Reeds OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Reeds' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reeds' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments49 K

Reeds Technical Analysis

Reeds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Reeds OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Reeds Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Reeds OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Reeds Predictive Forecast Models

Reeds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Reeds' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Reeds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Reeds Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Reeds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Reeds Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Reeds Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Reeds Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 49.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 13.6 M.
Reeds Inc currently holds about 25 K in cash with (17.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
Note that the Reeds Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Reeds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Reeds OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Reeds Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Reeds' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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