Remarul 16 (Romania) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.4

REFE Stock   27.20  0.00  0.00%   
Remarul 16's future price is the expected price of Remarul 16 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Remarul 16 Februarie performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Remarul 16 Backtesting, Remarul 16 Valuation, Remarul 16 Correlation, Remarul 16 Hype Analysis, Remarul 16 Volatility, Remarul 16 History as well as Remarul 16 Performance.
  
Please specify Remarul 16's target price for which you would like Remarul 16 odds to be computed.

Remarul 16 Target Price Odds to finish over 21.4

The tendency of Remarul Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  21.40  in 90 days
 27.20 90 days 21.40 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Remarul 16 to stay above  21.40  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Remarul 16 Februarie probability density function shows the probability of Remarul Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Remarul 16 Februarie price to stay between  21.40  and its current price of 27.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Remarul 16 Februarie has a beta of -0.0177 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Remarul 16 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Remarul 16 Februarie is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Remarul 16 Februarie has an alpha of 0.0036, implying that it can generate a 0.003646 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Remarul 16 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Remarul 16

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Remarul 16 Februarie. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.9927.2027.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.6325.8429.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.8727.0727.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.2027.2027.20
Details

Remarul 16 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Remarul 16 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Remarul 16's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Remarul 16 Februarie, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Remarul 16 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.62

Remarul 16 Technical Analysis

Remarul 16's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Remarul Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Remarul 16 Februarie. In general, you should focus on analyzing Remarul Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Remarul 16 Predictive Forecast Models

Remarul 16's time-series forecasting models is one of many Remarul 16's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Remarul 16's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Remarul 16 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Remarul 16's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Remarul 16 options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Remarul Stock

Remarul 16 financial ratios help investors to determine whether Remarul Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Remarul with respect to the benefits of owning Remarul 16 security.