Chicago Atlantic Real Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.21
| REFI Stock | USD 16.09 0.04 0.25% |
Chicago |
Chicago Atlantic Target Price Odds to finish below 15.21
The tendency of Chicago Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.21 or more in 90 days |
| 16.09 | 90 days | 15.21 | about 11.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chicago Atlantic to drop to $ 15.21 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.67 (This Chicago Atlantic Real probability density function shows the probability of Chicago Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chicago Atlantic Real price to stay between $ 15.21 and its current price of $16.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.58 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Chicago Atlantic has a beta of 0.47 indicating as returns on the market go up, Chicago Atlantic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chicago Atlantic Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chicago Atlantic Real has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Chicago Atlantic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chicago Atlantic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chicago Atlantic Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chicago Atlantic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chicago Atlantic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chicago Atlantic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chicago Atlantic Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chicago Atlantic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0005 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Chicago Atlantic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chicago Atlantic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chicago Atlantic Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Chicago Atlantic has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Chicago Atlantic paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Chicago Atlantic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chicago Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chicago Atlantic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chicago Atlantic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.9 M |
Chicago Atlantic Technical Analysis
Chicago Atlantic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chicago Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chicago Atlantic Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chicago Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chicago Atlantic Predictive Forecast Models
Chicago Atlantic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chicago Atlantic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chicago Atlantic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chicago Atlantic Real
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chicago Atlantic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chicago Atlantic Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Chicago Atlantic has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Chicago Atlantic paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Check out Chicago Atlantic Backtesting, Chicago Atlantic Valuation, Chicago Atlantic Correlation, Chicago Atlantic Hype Analysis, Chicago Atlantic Volatility, Chicago Atlantic History as well as Chicago Atlantic Performance. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chicago Atlantic. If investors know Chicago will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chicago Atlantic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.037 | Dividend Share 1.88 | Earnings Share 2 | Revenue Per Share 3.014 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.121 |
The market value of Chicago Atlantic Real is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chicago that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chicago Atlantic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chicago Atlantic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chicago Atlantic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chicago Atlantic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chicago Atlantic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chicago Atlantic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chicago Atlantic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.