Regulus Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.04
| REG Stock | CAD 1.95 0.05 2.63% |
Regulus |
Regulus Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 2.04
The tendency of Regulus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 2.04 after 90 days |
| 1.95 | 90 days | 2.04 | about 55.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Regulus Resources to stay under C$ 2.04 after 90 days from now is about 55.99 (This Regulus Resources probability density function shows the probability of Regulus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Regulus Resources price to stay between its current price of C$ 1.95 and C$ 2.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Regulus Resources has a beta of 0.0944 indicating as returns on the market go up, Regulus Resources average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Regulus Resources will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Regulus Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Regulus Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Regulus Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regulus Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Regulus Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Regulus Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Regulus Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Regulus Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Regulus Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Regulus Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Regulus Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Regulus Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Regulus Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Regulus Resources may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Regulus Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (52.35 K). | |
| Regulus Resources has accumulated about 11.54 M in cash with (2.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13. | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Regulus Resources Stock Price Up 3.6 percent - Whats Next - MarketBeat |
Regulus Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Regulus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Regulus Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Regulus Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 116.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.4 M |
Regulus Resources Technical Analysis
Regulus Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Regulus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Regulus Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Regulus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Regulus Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Regulus Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Regulus Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Regulus Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Regulus Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Regulus Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Regulus Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Regulus Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Regulus Resources may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Regulus Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.07 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (52.35 K). | |
| Regulus Resources has accumulated about 11.54 M in cash with (2.06 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.13. | |
| Roughly 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Regulus Resources Stock Price Up 3.6 percent - Whats Next - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Regulus Stock Analysis
When running Regulus Resources' price analysis, check to measure Regulus Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Regulus Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Regulus Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Regulus Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Regulus Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Regulus Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.