Revenio (Finland) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24.89
| REG1V Stock | EUR 27.40 0.34 1.23% |
Revenio |
Revenio Target Price Odds to finish below 24.89
The tendency of Revenio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 24.89 or more in 90 days |
| 27.40 | 90 days | 24.89 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Revenio to drop to € 24.89 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Revenio Group probability density function shows the probability of Revenio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Revenio Group price to stay between € 24.89 and its current price of €27.4 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Revenio has a beta of 0.11 indicating as returns on the market go up, Revenio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Revenio Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Revenio Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Revenio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Revenio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Revenio Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Revenio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Revenio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Revenio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Revenio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Revenio Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Revenio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Revenio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Revenio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Revenio Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Revenio Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Revenio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Revenio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Revenio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Revenio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.6 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 22.7 M |
Revenio Technical Analysis
Revenio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Revenio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Revenio Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Revenio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Revenio Predictive Forecast Models
Revenio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Revenio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Revenio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Revenio Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Revenio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Revenio Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Revenio Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Revenio Stock
Revenio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Revenio Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Revenio with respect to the benefits of owning Revenio security.