Riocan Real Estate Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.15
| REI-UN Stock | CAD 18.68 0.56 2.91% |
RioCan |
RioCan Real Target Price Odds to finish below 18.15
The tendency of RioCan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 18.15 or more in 90 days |
| 18.68 | 90 days | 18.15 | about 1.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of RioCan Real to drop to C$ 18.15 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.36 (This RioCan Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of RioCan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of RioCan Real Estate price to stay between C$ 18.15 and its current price of C$18.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon RioCan Real Estate has a beta of -0.12 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding RioCan Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, RioCan Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally RioCan Real Estate has an alpha of 0.043, implying that it can generate a 0.043 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). RioCan Real Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for RioCan Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RioCan Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RioCan Real's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
RioCan Real Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. RioCan Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the RioCan Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold RioCan Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of RioCan Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.60 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
RioCan Real Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of RioCan Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for RioCan Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| RioCan Real Estate has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| RioCan Real Estate has accumulated 6.9 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.87, which is about average as compared to similar companies. RioCan Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist RioCan Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, RioCan Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like RioCan Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for RioCan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about RioCan Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat |
RioCan Real Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of RioCan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential RioCan Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RioCan Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 300.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 128.4 M |
RioCan Real Technical Analysis
RioCan Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. RioCan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of RioCan Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing RioCan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
RioCan Real Predictive Forecast Models
RioCan Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many RioCan Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary RioCan Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about RioCan Real Estate
Checking the ongoing alerts about RioCan Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for RioCan Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| RioCan Real Estate has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| RioCan Real Estate has accumulated 6.9 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.87, which is about average as compared to similar companies. RioCan Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.32, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist RioCan Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, RioCan Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like RioCan Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for RioCan to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about RioCan Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust Share Price Crosses Above 200 Day Moving Average - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in RioCan Stock
RioCan Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether RioCan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RioCan with respect to the benefits of owning RioCan Real security.