Royce Global Value Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.87
| RGT Stock | USD 11.91 0.04 0.34% |
Royce |
Royce Global Target Price Odds to finish below 11.87
The tendency of Royce Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.87 or more in 90 days |
| 11.91 | 90 days | 11.87 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Royce Global to drop to $ 11.87 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Royce Global Value probability density function shows the probability of Royce Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Royce Global Value price to stay between $ 11.87 and its current price of $11.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.28 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Royce Global has a beta of 0.71 indicating as returns on the market go up, Royce Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Royce Global Value will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Royce Global Value has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Royce Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Royce Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Royce Global Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Royce Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Royce Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Royce Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Royce Global Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Royce Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Royce Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Royce Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Royce Global Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Royce Global Value Trust declares 0.47 dividend |
Royce Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Royce Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Royce Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Royce Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 463 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 141.6 K | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.52 |
Royce Global Technical Analysis
Royce Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Royce Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Royce Global Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Royce Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Royce Global Predictive Forecast Models
Royce Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Royce Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Royce Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Royce Global Value
Checking the ongoing alerts about Royce Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Royce Global Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Royce Global Value Trust declares 0.47 dividend |
Additional Tools for Royce Stock Analysis
When running Royce Global's price analysis, check to measure Royce Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Royce Global is operating at the current time. Most of Royce Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Royce Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Royce Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Royce Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.