Ricoh (UK) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1649.48
| RICO Stock | 1,647 50.00 2.95% |
Ricoh |
Ricoh Target Price Odds to finish below 1649.48
The tendency of Ricoh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1,649 after 90 days |
| 1,647 | 90 days | 1,649 | about 74.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ricoh to stay under 1,649 after 90 days from now is about 74.55 (This Ricoh Co probability density function shows the probability of Ricoh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ricoh price to stay between its current price of 1,647 and 1,649 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ricoh has a beta of 0.98 indicating Ricoh Co market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Ricoh is expected to follow. Additionally Ricoh Co has an alpha of 0.2469, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ricoh Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ricoh
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ricoh. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ricoh Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ricoh is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ricoh's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ricoh Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ricoh within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 113.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Ricoh Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ricoh for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ricoh can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ricoh had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Ricoh is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Ricoh Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ricoh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ricoh's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ricoh's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 608.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 177.3 B |
Ricoh Technical Analysis
Ricoh's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ricoh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ricoh Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ricoh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ricoh Predictive Forecast Models
Ricoh's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ricoh's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ricoh's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ricoh
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ricoh for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ricoh help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ricoh had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Ricoh is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Tools for Ricoh Stock Analysis
When running Ricoh's price analysis, check to measure Ricoh's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ricoh is operating at the current time. Most of Ricoh's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ricoh's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ricoh's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ricoh to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.